Blogging the Bookshelf

Blogging my bookshelf – one book at a time

Blogging the Bookshelf header image 4

Entries Tagged as 'Electoralism'

Ask Them About Their Neighbours – “The Victory Lab: The Secret Science of Winning Campaigns”, Sasha Issenberg

December 5th, 2012 · Comments Off on Ask Them About Their Neighbours – “The Victory Lab: The Secret Science of Winning Campaigns”, Sasha Issenberg · Electoralism, Multi-culturalism, Psychology

One night Binder asked, “Do you think your neighbors would be willing to vote for an African-American for president?” Some of the voters answered no, and Strasma watched them closely. Something in that response—perhaps a feeling of being liberated to publicly share an unpopular opinion—convinced him that the people who acknowledged their neighbors’ racism might […]

[Read more →]

Tags:····

‘Baked In’ Voter Perceptions – “The Victory Lab: The Secret Science of Winning Campaigns”, Sasha Issenberg

December 3rd, 2012 · Comments Off on ‘Baked In’ Voter Perceptions – “The Victory Lab: The Secret Science of Winning Campaigns”, Sasha Issenberg · Economics, Electoralism, Policy, Political Communication, Politics, Power

When a pollster asked if someone would be more or less likely to vote for a candidate in favor of shipping jobs overseas—a typical way of auditioning what was then a promising line of attack against Bush—they would often hear from voters across the board that it made them “less likely.” But when the AFL […]

[Read more →]

Tags:····

The Limited Accuracy of Polls in Primary Contests – “The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction”, Nate Silver

November 18th, 2012 · Comments Off on The Limited Accuracy of Polls in Primary Contests – “The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction”, Nate Silver · Electoralism, Politics

During the 2008 Democratic primaries, the average poll missed by about eight points, far more than implied by its margin of error. The problems in polls of the Republican primaries of 2012 may have been even worse. In many of the major states, in fact—including Iowa, South Carolina, Florida, Michigan, Washington, Colorado, Ohio, Alabama, and […]

[Read more →]

Tags:···

The Unimportance of Political News – “The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction”, Nate Silver

November 18th, 2012 · Comments Off on The Unimportance of Political News – “The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction”, Nate Silver · Electoralism, Journalism, Newspapers, Politics, Spin, The Media

Political news, and especially the important news that really affects the campaign, proceeds at an irregular pace. But news coverage is produced every day. Most of it is filler, packaged in the form of stories that are designed to obscure its unimportance.* Not only does political coverage often lose the signal—it frequently accentuates the noise. […]

[Read more →]

Tags:·······

The Narrative and Political Prediction – “The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction”, Nate Silver

November 17th, 2012 · Comments Off on The Narrative and Political Prediction – “The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction”, Nate Silver · Electoralism, Journalism, Newspapers, Politics, Prediction, Psychology, Spin, The Media

You can get lost in the narrative. Politics may be especially susceptible to poor predictions precisely because of its human elements: a good election engages our dramatic sensibilities.

[Read more →]

Tags:········

The Law of Self-Preservation – “Huey Long”, T. Harry Williams

September 18th, 2012 · Comments Off on The Law of Self-Preservation – “Huey Long”, T. Harry Williams · Democracy, Electoralism, Means and Ends, Politics, Quotes

Interjecting a brief homily on the art of politics, (Long) declared: “What the politician had better do is stay a politician. That is law number one with him – the law of self-preservation.”

[Read more →]

Tags:····

Everything I did, I’ve Had to do With One Hand, Because I’ve Had to Fight With the Other – “Huey Long”, T. Harry Williams

September 13th, 2012 · Comments Off on Everything I did, I’ve Had to do With One Hand, Because I’ve Had to Fight With the Other – “Huey Long”, T. Harry Williams · Electoralism, Means and Ends, Politics, Power

Long: “They say they don’t like my methods. Well, I don’t like them either. I really don’t like to have to do things the way I do. I’d much rather get up before the legislature and say, ‘Now this is a good law and it’s for the benefit of the people, and I’d like you […]

[Read more →]

Tags:···

Show us not the aim without the way – “Darkness At Noon” – Arthur Koestler

July 26th, 2012 · Comments Off on Show us not the aim without the way – “Darkness At Noon” – Arthur Koestler · Democracy, Electoralism, Means and Ends, Politics

‘Show us not the aim without the way. For ends and means on earth are so entangled That changing one, you change the other too; Each different path brings other ends in view.’ FERDINAND LASSALLE: Franz von Sickingen

[Read more →]

Tags:····

To sell oneself to one’s own conscience is to abandon mankind – “Darkness At Noon” – Arthur Koestler

July 25th, 2012 · Comments Off on To sell oneself to one’s own conscience is to abandon mankind – “Darkness At Noon” – Arthur Koestler · Electoralism, Politics, Progressive Politics

‘The greatest criminals in history,’ Ivanov went on, ‘are not of the type Nero and Fouché, but of the type Gandhi and Tolstoy. Gandhi’s inner voice has done more to prevent the liberation of India than the British guns. To sell oneself for thirty pieces of silver is an honest transaction; but to sell oneself […]

[Read more →]

Tags:···

Sympathy, conscience, disgust, despair, repentance, and atonement are for us repellent debauchery – “Darkness At Noon” – Arthur Koestler

July 24th, 2012 · Comments Off on Sympathy, conscience, disgust, despair, repentance, and atonement are for us repellent debauchery – “Darkness At Noon” – Arthur Koestler · Electoralism, Means and Ends, Philosophy, Politics

‘My point is this,’ he said; ‘one may not regard the world as a sort of metaphysical brothel for emotions. That is the first commandment for us. Sympathy, conscience, disgust, despair, repentance, and atonement are for us repellent debauchery. To sit down and let oneself be hypnotized by one’s own navel, to turn up one’s […]

[Read more →]

Tags:···